Wednesday, 30 December 2009

Sleight of hand by the Met Office?


First, here's wishing almost everyone, apart from lard-arse Brown and his disgraced cabal of incompetents, a Very Happy New Year.
Ta Amusing Bunni for the above pic and Grumpy Old Twat for this timely vid.




Situations Vacant
The BBC are urgently recruiting a person to read the weather. The post will require the ability to look out of the window, phone a few mates in the fishing and farming community and then tell everyone what the weather will be like for the next couple of days.
Gladys Strange of HR announced the shock move away from relying on expensive Met Office forcasts after she read The UK Meteorological Office: slightly less reliable than tea leaves or cock entrails*

On Nov 27 the Met Office produced its winter seasonal forecast which included a little chart to illustrate 50% chance of a mild winter, 30% chance of a near average winter and 20% chance of a colder winter.
Yesterday (30th Dec) they slyly changed the graph as below
Spot the difference? Well you would have to because they didn't say that they changed it. It's the same URL
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/seasonal/2009/winter/?zoneid=79042
Another fiddle?
Commentator Bob Dylan commented "You don't need the weatherman to know which way the wind blows".

Anyway, here's a more accurate long term forcast based on observation of sunspots by some American farmers.


H/T to most of the above from various commenters at wattsupwiththat.com


*Telegraph links don't always work for some reason, this is the URL to James Delingpoles piece on the Met Office (Not Meteorological btw)
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100020868/the-uk-meterological-office-slightly-less-reliable-than-tea-leaves-or-cock-entrails/

Upgate Carbongate The Fraud starts here in jolly old Britain.
'Carousel' frauds plague European carbon trading markets
Why are mysterious UK businesses registering to trade carbon in Europe?
Described as a "consulting" business, this is a UK company that has signed up to trade carbon permits under the European Emissions Trading Scheme in Copenhagen. But there is no trace of its existence on the Companies House database.
All the expected big players are on the list – utilities, oil and heavy industry – the only sectors obliged by law to own permits to cover emissions.
Quite a few investment banks are also signed up, on behalf of industry or trading to make a profit.
But outnumbering these familiar names, hundreds of UK companies selling anything from hair loss treatments to electronics have mysteriously registered to buy and sell carbon permits in the Scandinavian nation – mostly in the last 18 months.

"Europol, the cross-border police force, said that carbon trading fraudsters may have accounted for up to 90pc of all market activity in some European countries, with criminals mainly from Britain, France, Spain, Denmark and Holland pocketing an estimated €5bn (£4.5bn).
"...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/6912667/Carousel-frauds-plague-European-carbon-trading-markets.html

16 comments:

Amusing Bunni said...

Hi Banned! I'm glad you liked my little stick figure drunk guy! It is funny, I plan on telling people who annoy me that very phrase.

These weather guys are geniuses. It's winter, It's snowing, it's cold! My pet fish could tell them that.

I hope you have a Lovely New Year's and the Best New Year ever in 2010. Don't get too drunk, having a hangover is no fun! Ta Ta!

Fidothedog said...

Why not just employ a witch doctor who can rattle some bones an make a forcast for the weather?

Woodsterman (Odie) said...

The sky is falling, the sky is falling. We are having the coldest winter in twenty years in the mountains of California.

The Conservative Lady said...

It sounds like those big companies are taking a lesson from the thieving, lying Al Gore.

banned - I wish you a happy, healthy & prosperous new year. Keep up the good work!

Goodnight Vienna said...

Happy New Year to you and yours, Banned.

Fausty said...

That's a forecast?!

European countries no doubt get generous carbon credit allowances which they can then trade. Nice to see Sarkozy's carbon trading bill fall flat on its face!

Happy New Year, everyone!

Ron Russell said...

When I was growing up on the old family farm the"Farmer's Almanac" was the bible for long term weather prediction. It seems to be right most of the time and also told me the best days to go fishing. Things have changed and we in the so-called modern world now got our information from more sophicated, but less realiable sources. I've noticed a simple truth over the years the more complex and detailed something becomes the less realiable it is. I'll take the Almanac and keep out of the deep grass of uncertainity. Have a happy New Year Banned. Look forward to your post next year although I'm not in tune to your local politics.

Polaris said...

Happy New year - here's to a better one.

Clara x

All Seeing Eye said...

Happy New Year, banned.

Our fireworks display here went ahead despite the fact it has been the third wettest December ever, is absolutely pissing down and there is a storm blowing. I bet it's global warming somehow.

banned said...

Thank you all for your kind words, here I am at 06:50 on New Years Day, sober; now there's a novelty.

As a teenager I used to spend New Years Eve splashing around in the fountains at Trafalgar Square, keeping warm with illicit booze, until they spoiled it by first draining them and then barricading them off altogether.
In later years I would be with a group of old schoolfriends keeping in touch by spending three days together over New Year at increasingly sophisticated country hotels. When we started doing that it was hard to find a hotel open for NYE but latterly they became so popular that those tasked to research next years venue would have to start in the spring. We had to limit any additions to our group to younger brothers only, plus of course girfriends, who might vary from year to year, and then wives and the first infants, sometimes thirty or more in total. Happy days.

Wrinkled Weasel said...

Happy New Year! Brilliant Video - will nick it!

Weas

banned said...

WWI nicked it frpm Grumpy Old Twat snd I'm sure he'll be happy for it to get as much exposure as possible

Amusing Bunni said...

Hi Banned! Thank you for your lovely comment on my Birthday Post! I'm sure your Mother and mine would have gotten on famously. I hear she, and My grand mum, didn't take any crap from anyone...I also have inherited that trait! Thanks again.

Anonymous said...

nice post. thanks.

banned said...

10tyh Jan. Met Office today coming under flak for getting the Winter Seaonal Forcast wrong, nothing yet about them back-forcasting.

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